Tropical Storm Watch For Fred


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

A Tropical Storm Watch means tropical storm-force winds are possible

somewhere within this area within the next 48 hours

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

- Pensacola

- Pensacola Beach

- Perdido Bay

- Bagdad

- Gulf Breeze

- Navarre

- Destin

- Eglin AFB

- Fort Walton Beach

- Jay

- Milton

- Atmore

- Brewton

- Flomaton

- Andalusia

- Opp

* WIND

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

- Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

to 73 mph

- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

storm force.

- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for

significant wind damage.

- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

fences and roadway signs blown over.

- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

urban or heavily wooded places.

- Scattered power and communications outages, but more

prevalent in areas with above ground lines.

* STORM SURGE

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible

- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet

above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

- Window of concern: through this afternoon

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground

- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1

foot above ground.

- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect

flooding of low-lying roads and property.

- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to

follow the instructions of local officials.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding

- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.

* FLOODING RAIN

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 2-4 inches, with locally

higher amounts

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

localized flooding rain

- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

localized flooding from heavy rain.

- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

vulnerable to flooding.

- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

- Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.

- Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter

currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may

become swollen and overflow in spots.

- Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in

usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding

of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor

drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds

become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and

bridge closures.

* TORNADO

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

tornadoes

- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

few tornadoes.

- PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

hazardous weather arrives.

- ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

quickly.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

power and communications disruptions.

- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

- For evacuation and shelter information, please refer to:

- Escambia County EMA: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com

- For storm surge threat graphics and other storm impacts:

- NWS Mobile: www.weather.gov/mob


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